{"id":4561,"date":"2023-08-26T18:27:35","date_gmt":"2023-08-26T18:27:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mpelembe.net\/?p=4561"},"modified":"2023-08-26T18:27:35","modified_gmt":"2023-08-26T18:27:35","slug":"yevgeny-prigozhin-wagner-group-boss-joins-long-list-of-those-who-challenged-vladimir-putin-and-paid-the-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mpelembe.net\/index.php\/yevgeny-prigozhin-wagner-group-boss-joins-long-list-of-those-who-challenged-vladimir-putin-and-paid-the-price\/","title":{"rendered":"Yevgeny Prigozhin: Wagner Group boss joins long list of those who challenged Vladimir Putin and paid the\u00a0price"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/stefan-wolff-95635\">Stefan Wolff<\/a>, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-birmingham-1138\">University of Birmingham<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Two months after challenging Vladimir Putin\u2019s leadership in an apparent but abortive \u201cmutiny\u201d, Yevgeny Prigozhin \u2013 the former owner of the mercenary private military company Wagner Group \u2013 has joined a long <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lbc.co.uk\/news\/full-list-suspicious-russian-deaths\/\">list<\/a> of prominent Russians to die in mysterious circumstances. <\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Prigozhin\u2019s private jet <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/russian-mercenary-yevgeny-prigozhins-plane-appeared-fine-radar-until-last-30-2023-08-24\/\">apparently crashed<\/a> on a routine flight from Moscow to St Petersburg just after 3pm local time. Confirmation of Prigozhin\u2019s likely demise came in the form of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/ten-killed-private-jet-crash-north-moscow-tass-2023-08-23\/\">announcements<\/a> by Russia\u2019s authorities and a Telegram channel linked to the Wagner group. Conveniently, there was also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=-AFqvahzHzs\">video<\/a> footage of the plane falling out of the sky and burning on the ground.<\/p>\n<p>With him on the aircraft was Dmitry Utkin, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2023\/aug\/24\/who-was-dmitry-utkin-wagner-commander-plane-crash-yevgeny-prigozhin\">widely considered<\/a> to be his second in command at the Wagner Group. Other <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonexaminer.com\/policy\/foreign\/who-prigozhins-crashed-plane\">passengers are reported to have included<\/a> Valery Chekalov, the head of Wagner security, Yevgeny Makaryan, who has been described as Prigozhin\u2019s bodyguard and other Wagner Group personnel.<\/p>\n<p>While it is unlikely that we will ever know for sure how, why and on whose orders Prigozhin might have been killed, it is far less difficult to imagine that he finally paid the price for his march on Moscow at the head of a column of his Wagner Group troops at the end of June 2023. The deaths of other top Wagner personnel in the crash spell the likely end of the group in its current form.<\/p>\n<p>At the time, Prigozhin went to great lengths to paint his mutiny as directed against the top brass in the Russian ministry of defence and not as a direct challenge to the Russian president, Vladimir Putin. Yet the brief episode <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/putin-seriously-weakened-by-wagner-group-mutiny-but-it-was-a-missed-opportunity-for-ukraine-too-208426\">exposed cracks in the regime<\/a>. Unopposed by local and regional security forces, Prigozhin\u2019s troops were able to take Rostov-on-Don and the headquarters of Russia\u2019s southern military district and command centre of the war in Ukraine. They also marched to within 200km (125 miles) of the Russian capital, again mostly unopposed.<\/p>\n<p>Following a deal brokered by Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko, Prigozhin called off his rebellion, agreeing to relocate his men and himself to Belarus and Wagner\u2019s overseas bases \u2013 mostly in Africa.<\/p>\n<figure>\n            <iframe width=\"440\" height=\"260\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Gpd4V5DbDIw?wmode=transparent&amp;start=0\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" data-load-mode=\"1\"><\/iframe><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">Yevgeny Prigozhin in what appears to be a recruitment video for the Wagner Group apparently filmed in Africa.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Despite some concerns over an <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/lukashenkos-joke-about-wagner-group-invading-poland-highlights-regional-security-fears-of-rogue-mercenaries-210304\">increasing Wagner presence closer to Nato members Poland and Lithuania<\/a>, little of the agreed relocation seems to have happened. Prigozhin himself appears to have enjoyed significant freedom of movement in Russia in the weeks after his abortive mutiny, including making an appearance on the sidelines of the Russia-Africa summit at the end of July.<\/p>\n<h2>Putin\u2019s purges<\/h2>\n<p>Though abrupt, his death is not unexpected. Under Putin, a former KGB operative himself, Russia has carried out several high-profile assassinations and assassination attempts, including in the UK and Germany, to go after alleged traitors and Putin critics. <\/p>\n<p>Many opposition figures in Russia have either died mysteriously or been assassinated. The list includes figures such as <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/alexei-navalny-suspected-poisoning-why-opposition-figure-stands-out-in-russian-politics-144836\">Alexei Navalny<\/a> (who survived novichok poisoning), former deputy prime minister <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/in-death-boris-nemtsov-embodies-the-hope-of-a-better-russia-38242\">Boris Nemtsov<\/a>, anti-corruption lawyer <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2020\/jul\/06\/who-was-sergei-magnitsky-and-how-did-uk-sanctions-come-about\">Sergei Magnitsky<\/a>, and journalist <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2016\/oct\/05\/ten-years-putin-press-kremlin-grip-russia-media-tightens\">Anna Politkovskaya<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, some regime critics may have thought themselves to be beyond his reach in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.parliament.uk\/globalassets\/documents\/commons-committees\/home-affairs\/Correspondence-17-19\/Chair-to-Home-Secretary-RE-Review-of-deaths-with-allegations-of-state-responsibility-06-03-18.pdf\">the UK<\/a> or other countries, have also been disposed of. These include oligarch and former friend turned critic, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/uk-21913356\">Boris Berezovsky<\/a>, and former spies <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-58637572\">Alexander Litvinenko<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/uk-51722301\">Sergei Skripal<\/a>, who were both poisoned (although Skripal survived) have been targeted.<\/p>\n<figure>\n            <iframe width=\"440\" height=\"260\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/bXOWK-Vj7_M?wmode=transparent&amp;start=0\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" data-load-mode=\"1\"><\/iframe><figcaption><span class=\"caption\">Former spy and Putin critic Alexander Litvinenko died of polonium poisoning in London.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Putin\u2019s message here has been clear for two decades: opposition will not be tolerated and will probably have fatal consequences. <\/p>\n<p>Prigozhin\u2019s likely assassination reaffirms this message spectacularly. But it is not the only step that Putin has taken to reassert control. On the day of Prigozhin\u2019s death, one of his presumptive allies in the military establishment, Sergei Surovikin \u2013 a former commander of Russian forces in Ukraine \u2013 was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-europe-64235713\">apparently dismissed<\/a> as head of the Russian aerospace forces. This followed weeks of speculation following his disappearance after the Prigozhin mutiny. <\/p>\n<p>Other top military officials critical of Russia\u2019s conduct of the war in Ukraine, including the commander of the Russia 58th Combined Arms Army, Ivan Popov, were <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-europe-66185545\">dismissed<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/russia-detained-several-senior-military-officers-in-wake-of-wagner-mutiny-35a696e4\">Other officials<\/a>, considered close to Prigozhin, including the deputy head of military intelligence, Vladimir Alexeyev, are still unaccounted for.<\/p>\n<p>Outside the military, alleged critics of Putin\u2019s war in Ukraine have not been safe either. A series of mysterious deaths struck fear into Russian <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/ideas\/archive\/2022\/12\/russian-tycoon-pavel-antov-dies-putin-ukraine\/672601\/\">oligarchs<\/a> in the months after the full-scale Russian aggression against Ukraine began in February 2022. Since then, criticism from the Russian business elite has been muted.<\/p>\n<p>The apparent assassination of Prigozhin would therefore seem to be business as usual for Putin. It was foreshadowed in the Russian <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2023\/jun\/24\/vladimir-putin-accuses-wagner-chief-treason-vows-neutralise-uprising\">president\u2019s speech on June 24<\/a>, the morning after Prigozhin\u2019s mutiny began, when he vowed to punish the \u201ctraitors\u201d, as he described them. <\/p>\n<h2>Back to business as usual?<\/h2>\n<p>Prigozhin\u2019s demise also draws a line under the apparent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-europe-66013532\">power struggle within the Russian military<\/a>. As the chief architects of the war in Ukraine, the defence minister, Sergey Shoigu, and chief of general staff, Valery Gerasimov, are the most obvious beneficiaries of Prigozhin\u2019s death and the wider purges of critics inside and outside the military.<\/p>\n<p>Putin, and his inner circle, clearly have prevailed on this occasion. This is not surprising, given how little direct and public support Prigozhin received over the course of his mutiny. In this sense, Putin\u2019s regime is still highly effective and has demonstrated its capacity to survive domestic challenges. <\/p>\n<p>But the underlying problem \u2013 a disastrous military campaign in Ukraine \u2013 has not gone away with the death of Prigozhin. Putin may have silenced one of the most outspoken critics of the conduct of the war, and have others arrested or murdered, like prominent pro-war bloggers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2023\/jul\/21\/russia-arrests-pro-war-putin-critic-igor-girkin-reports\">Igor Girkin<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.itv.com\/news\/2023-04-02\/explosion-at-st-petersburg-cafe-kills-prominent-military-blogger\">Vladen Tatarsky<\/a>. But many who share Prigozhin\u2019s misgivings without backing him publicly will have survived Putin\u2019s clean-up operation. <\/p>\n<p>Putin can be sure that they will now be extra careful not to stand too close to high windows or accept cups of tea from anyone connected with Russia\u2019s security services. But this may not be the only lesson they have learned from Prigozhin\u2019s demise \u2013 and that will likely worry the Kremlin and increase the paranoia of Putin and those around him.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/212181\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 1\/1;border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer-when-downgrade\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" \/><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: https:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><span><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/stefan-wolff-95635\">Stefan Wolff<\/a>, Professor of International Security, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-birmingham-1138\">University of Birmingham<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/yevgeny-prigozhin-wagner-group-boss-joins-long-list-of-those-who-challenged-vladimir-putin-and-paid-the-price-212181\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stefan Wolff, University of Birmingham Two months after challenging Vladimir Putin\u2019s leadership in an apparent but abortive \u201cmutiny\u201d, Yevgeny Prigozhin \u2013 the former owner<a class=\"moretag\" href=\"https:\/\/mpelembe.net\/index.php\/yevgeny-prigozhin-wagner-group-boss-joins-long-list-of-those-who-challenged-vladimir-putin-and-paid-the-price\/\">Read More&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4562,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAowu7GVCw:productID":"","_crdt_document":"","activitypub_content_warning":"","activitypub_content_visibility":"","activitypub_max_image_attachments":3,"activitypub_interaction_policy_quote":"anyone","activitypub_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[9915,8747,9908,9918,8726,2975,9910,9913,722,9914,8736,890,8728,9903,9904,9916,773,1452,9901,1484,826,8730,9899,9902,9909,9905,9912,8737,8727,1495,8743,724,723,9906,8731,9917,9911,1470,9850,8732,9900,9907,6204],"class_list":["post-4561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-alexander-litvinenko","tag-alexander-lukashenko","tag-alexei-navalny","tag-anna-politkovskaya","tag-anti-ukrainian-sentiment-in-russia","tag-belarus","tag-boris-berezovsky","tag-boris-nemtsov","tag-creative-commons","tag-dmitry-utkin","tag-don","tag-germany","tag-heroes-of-the-russian-federation","tag-igor-girkin","tag-ivan-popov","tag-lithuania","tag-london","tag-moscow","tag-opposition-to-vladimir-putin-in-russia","tag-poland","tag-russia","tag-russian-mercenaries","tag-russian-nationalists","tag-russian-oligarchs","tag-sergei-magnitsky","tag-sergei-skripal","tag-sergei-surovikin","tag-sergey-shoigu","tag-specially-designated-nationals-and-blocked-persons-list","tag-st-petersburg","tag-stefan-wolff","tag-ukraine","tag-united-kingdom","tag-valery-chekalov","tag-valery-gerasimov","tag-vladen-tatarsky","tag-vladimir-alexeyev","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-wagner","tag-wagner-group","tag-wagner-group-rebellion","tag-yevgeny-makaryan","tag-yevgeny-prigozhin"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/mpelembe.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/file-20230824-25-pugylp-1024x685.png","blog_images":{"medium":"https:\/\/mpelembe.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/file-20230824-25-pugylp-300x201.png","large":"https:\/\/mpelembe.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/file-20230824-25-pugylp-1024x685.png"},"ams_acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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