AI PCs: 2025 Market Forecast

Dec. 31, 2024 /Mpelembe Media/ –In 2025, AI-enabled personal computers (PCs) are expected to become the new normal, although ARM-based PCs will not grow out of their minority segment.

Here are some key predictions regarding the future of AI in personal computing devices:

**AI PCs will become the new normal**. This is driven by several factors, including the proliferation of AI-related PC shipments, the adoption of Local Large Language Models (LLMs) for everyday tasks, and the strategic launch of Windows 12 in 2H 2025.
**ARM-based PCs will remain a minority segment**. Although it is predicted that Arm-based PCs will represent only 13% of total PC shipments in 2025, it is still seen as a pivotal year for the market.
**AI capabilities will be enhanced** by improved processors and Copilot integration.
The market impact depends on resolving ongoing licensing disputes. The advantage in software compatibility will continue for x86 incumbents like Intel and AMD.

These factors are expected to contribute to AI PCs becoming the new normal by 2025.

The sources indicate that **Windows 12**, which is expected to launch in the second half of 2025, will be optimised for AI workloads. This suggests that Microsoft’s new operating system will play a key role in the shift towards AI PCs by providing an environment that is better suited for AI-related tasks.

According to ABI Research, several key factors are driving the shift to AI PCs. These include:

**Increased shipments of AI-related PCs**: The growing number of PCs being shipped with AI capabilities is a significant factor contributing to the shift. This suggests that manufacturers are increasingly incorporating AI technology into their personal computers.
**Adoption of Local Large Language Models (LLMs)**: The integration of LLMs for everyday tasks is a key driver in the move towards AI PCs. This means that AI PCs will be capable of handling more sophisticated AI-related tasks locally, without relying on cloud processing.
**Strategic launch of Windows 12**: The launch of Windows 12 in the second half of 2025 is expected to be a key driver for the adoption of AI PCs. This new operating system will be optimised for AI workloads, further boosting the performance and utility of AI PCs.
**Enhanced processor and Copilot integration**: Improved processors and Copilot integration are set to enhance the AI capabilities of PCs. This indicates that both hardware and software are evolving to provide better support for AI functionalities.
**Market readiness**: The technology market is entering a new phase of adoption, requiring both tech implementers and end-users to assess solutions and integrate them, which is driving the shift to AI PCs.

ABI Research also notes that while these factors will make AI PCs the new normal, **ARM-based PCs are predicted to remain a minority segment** of the market, with only 13% of total PC shipments in 2025. This is despite the fact that 2025 is considered a pivotal year for the ARM-based PC market. The market impact depends heavily on resolving ongoing licensing disputes, and the advantage in software compatibility will continue for x86 incumbents such as Intel and AMD.